Gartner senkt Wachstumsprognose für Unternehmenssoftware-Ausgaben im Jahr 2009 auf 6,6 Prozent

Gartner analysts cited eight major technology forces that are being shaped by current market conditions:

·         Networked, pervasive computing — The use of portable PC and intelligent non-PC devices (such as cellular phones and PDAs) will slow following the adverse economic conditions. Opportunities related to developing applications that enable and use pervasively networked computing will pose significant challenges for software vendors in the midterm despite the good potential for these technologies over the long term.

·         Business process transformation — In the current market conditions, organisations will look to streamline processes even further, utilising products such as business process management (BPM), data integration, data quality, master data management (MDM), compliance and risk solutions and corporate performance management.

·         SOA and Web services — The economic downturn will cause cancellations and delays of service-oriented architecture (SOA) projects in the short term. In the long term, recovery of SOA projects will be slow. This trend will primarily impact the application integration management (AIM) and application development (AD) markets and the packaged application markets such as customer relationship management (CRM), enterprise content management (ECM),enterprise resource planning (ERP), and supply chain management (SCM) that are moving in this direction.

·         Technology convergence — As software technologies and markets mature, there occurs a broadening and overlap of functionality once delivered as a point offering. This convergence will be accelerated by the economic downturn as the weakest vendors go out of business or are acquired. Larger suite and platform vendors will strengthen primarily with maintenance revenue. Many best-of-breed vendors will survive with partnerships and strategic alliances playing key roles.

·         Rationalisation of product portfolios — As mergers and even bankruptcies of software companies increase through 2009, Gartner expects end-user organisations to increase their efforts to consolidate their existing product portfolio. In doing so, they will become more assertive and demanding which is likely to impact vendors’ selling power.

·         Linux and open-source software (OSS) — OSS will be chosen more as a possible alternative to expensive proprietary software. The economic downturn will push the OSS adoption up and harm sales in several segments; notably OS and office suites.

·         Virtualisation — PC, server and storage virtualisation is growing in use and will be fostered by the tough economy where organisations will try to make the most of the spare capacity they have in-house. Storage technology, server operating systems and IT operations management (ITOM) will be among the segments that will benefit from the virtualisation fever.

·         Collaboration, unified communications and voice over IP — The economic downturn will hit business travel in the midterm and therefore Gartner expects unified communications and collaboration to thrive. Also, unified messaging (voice mail, e-mail and fax integration) to include alternative collaboration services, such as instant messaging, teamware and voice/Web/videoconferencing, will assume more importance.

Additional information is available in the Gartner report “Forecast: Enterprise Software Markets, Worldwide, 2007-2012, 4Q08 Update.” The report is available on Gartner’s website at http://www.gartner.com/DisplayDocument?ref=g_search&id=833913&subref=simplesearch.

About Gartner

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